As it was mentioned above the trading on the Forex is essentially risk-bearing.
By the evaluation of the grade of a possible risk accounted should be the following kinds of it: exchange rate risk, interest rate risk, and credit risk, country risk.
Exchange rate risk. Exchange rate risk is the effect of the continuous shift in the worldwide
market supply and demand balance on an outstanding foreign exchange position. For
the period it is outstanding, the position will be subject to all the price changes.
The most popular measures to cut losses short and ride profitable positions that losses should be
kept within manageable limits are the position limit and the loss limit. By the position limitation
a maximum amount of a certain currency a trader is allowed to carry at any single time
during the regular trading hours is to be established. The loss limit is a measure designed to avoid unsustainable losses made by traders by means of stop-loss levels setting.
Interest rate risk. Interest rate risk refers to the profit and loss generated by fluctuations in the
forward spreads, along with forward amount mismatches and maturity gaps among transactions in the foreign exchange book. This risk is pertinent to currency swaps, forward outright, futures, and options
To minimize interest rate risk, one sets limits on the total size of mismatches. A common
approach is to separate the mismatches, based on their maturity dates, into up to six months and past six months.
All the transactions are entered in computerized systems in order to calculate the positions for
all the dates of the delivery, gains and losses. Continuous analysis of the interest rate
environment is necessary to forecast any changes that may impact on the outstanding gaps.Credit risk. Credit risk refers to the possibility that an outstanding currency position may
not be repaid as agreed, due to a voluntary or involuntary action by a counter party. In these
cases, trading occurs on regulated exchanges, such as the clearinghouse of Chicago.
The following forms of credit risk
1. Replacement risk occurs when counterparties of the failed bank find their books are subjected
to the danger not to get refunds from the bank, where appropriate accounts became unbalanced
2. Settlement risk occurs because of the time zones on different continents. Consequently,
currencies may be traded at the different price at different times during the trading day. Australian and New
Zealand dollars are credited first, then Japanese yen, followed by the European currencies and
ending with the U.S. dollar. Therefore, payment may be made to a party that will declare insolvency (or be
declared insolvent) immediately after, but prior to executing its own payments Dictatorship risk.
Dictatorship (sovereign) risk refers to the government's interference in the Forex activity.
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Thursday, December 25, 2008
Risks By The Foreign Exchange On Forex
Labels:
European currencies,
foreign exchange,
price changes,
risk,
trading
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